Found 44 papers

Sorted by: Newest First
JASA Jul 27, 2026
Weight-calibrated estimation for factor models of high-dimensional time series*

Qiwei Yao, Bo Zhang, Xinghao Qiao et al.

High-Dimensional Statistics Time Series
JASA Jul 27, 2026
Scalable Bayesian Inference for Time Series via Divide and Conquer

David Dunson, Rihui Ou, Lachlan Astfalck et al.

Bayesian Statistics Time Series
JASA Jul 14, 2026
Bayesian Spatiotemporal Wombling

Sudipto Banerjee, Didong Li, Aritra Halder

Bayesian Statistics Time Series
JMLR Jul 07, 2026
Nonparametric generative modeling for time series via Schrödinger bridge

Mohamed Hamdouche, Pierre Henry-Labordère, Huyên Pham

We propose a novel generative model for time series based on Schrödinger bridge (SB) approach. This consists in the entropic interpolation via optimal...

Nonparametric Statistics High-Dimensional Statistics Time Series
JMLR Jul 06, 2026
Statistical Test for Attention in Transformers for Images and Time Series

Tomohiro Shiraishi, Daiki Miwa, Teruyuki Katsuoka et al.

Transformer models have achieved exceptional performance in various domains, including computer vision and time-series analysis. Their core attention ...

Time Series
JMLR Jul 06, 2026
Embedding Network Autoregression for Time Series Analysis and Causal Peer Effect Inference

Jae Ho Chang, Subhadeep Paul

We propose an Embedding Network Autoregressive Model for multivariate networked longitudinal data. We assume the network is generated from a latent va...

Causal Inference Machine Learning Time Series
JMLR Jul 06, 2026
FLAGG: Flexible Autoregressive Graph Generation

Samuel Cognolato, Alessandro Sperduti, Luciano Serafini

The Deep Graph Generation's panorama spans two extremes: one-shot and sequential models. The former generates nodes and edges jointly, while the latte...

Time Series
JMLR Jul 06, 2026
Almost Sure Convergence of Linear Temporal Difference Learning with Arbitrary Features

Shangtong Zhang, Jiuqi Wang

Temporal difference (TD) learning with linear function approximation (linear TD) is a classic and powerful prediction algorithm in reinforcement learn...

Time Series
JMLR Jul 06, 2026
Nonparametric Partial Disentanglement via Mechanism Sparsity: Sparse Actions, Interventions and Sparse Temporal Dependencies

S{\'{e}}bastien Lachapelle, Pau Rodr{\'{i}}guez L{\'{o}}pez, Yash Sharma et al.

This work introduces a novel principle for disentanglement we call mechanism sparsity regularization, which applies when the latent factors of interes...

Nonparametric Statistics High-Dimensional Statistics Time Series
JMLR Jul 06, 2026
Nonparametric generative modeling for time series via Schr{\"{o}}dinger bridge

Mohamed Hamdouche, Pierre Henry-Labord{\`{e}}re, Huy{\^{e}}n Pham

We propose a novel generative model for time series based on Schrödinger bridge (SB) approach. This consists in the entropic interpolation via optimal...

Nonparametric Statistics High-Dimensional Statistics Time Series
JASA Jul 02, 2026
Tail postcoloring in long-run variance estimation of time series

Xu Liu, Kin Wai Chan

Machine Learning Time Series
JASA Jun 29, 2026
Mixture Modeling for Temporal Point Processes with Memory

Bruno Sansó, Xiaotian Zheng, Athanasios Kottas

Time Series
Biometrika Jun 27, 2026
Asymmetric Penalties Underlie Proper Loss Functions in Probabilistic Forecasting

E Buchweitz, J V Romano, R J Tibshirani

Summary Accurately forecasting the probability distribution of phenomena of interest is a classic and ever more widespread goal in s...

Time Series
JASA Jun 25, 2026
Patterns in Spatio-Temporal Extremes

Marco Oesting, Raphaël Huser

Time Series
Biometrika Jun 24, 2026
A new class of functional conditional autoregressive models

S Kim

Summary We introduce a new class of conditional autoregressive models for spatially dependent functional data, formulated through co...

Time Series
JRSSB Jun 23, 2026
Structural classification of locally stationary time series based on second-order characteristics

Xiucai Ding, Lexin Li, Chen Qian

Abstract Time series classification is crucial for numerous scientific and engineering applications. In this article, we present a n...

Machine Learning Time Series
JASA Jun 04, 2026
Stationarity of Manifold Time Series

Dehan Kong, Junhao Zhu, Zhaolei Zhang et al.

Time Series
JASA Jun 04, 2026
A Statistician’s Overview of Physics-Informed Neural Networks for Spatio-Temporal Data

Christopher K. Wikle, Joshua North, Giri Gopalan et al.

Machine Learning Time Series
JASA Jun 04, 2026
Localized Sparse Principal Component Analysis of Multivariate Time Series in the Frequency Domain

Amita Manatunga, Jamshid Namdari, Fabio Ferrarelli et al.

Machine Learning High-Dimensional Statistics Time Series
JASA Jun 04, 2026
Testing for integer integration in functional time series

Won-Ki Seo, Han Lin Shang

Time Series Hypothesis Testing
JRSSB May 19, 2026
Inference for structural changes in nonstationary functional time series with partial measurement error

Weichi Wu, Lujia Bai, Qirui Hu

Abstract We study the problem of detecting and localizing change points for a general class of locally stationary functional time se...

Time Series
JASA Apr 22, 2026
A Physics-Informed Spatiotemporal Deep Learning Framework for Turbulent Systems

Luca Menicali, Andrew Grace, David H. Richter et al.

Machine Learning Time Series
JRSSB Apr 16, 2026
Autoregressive networks with dependent edges

Qiwei Yao, Jinyuan Chang, Qin Fang et al.

Abstract We propose an autoregressive framework for modelling dynamic networks with dependent edges. It encompasses models that acco...

Time Series
Biometrika Apr 14, 2026
Tail-robust factor modelling of vector and tensor time series in high dimensions

Haeran Cho, Matteo Barigozzi, Hyeyoung Maeng

Summary We study the problem of factor modelling vector- and tensor-valued time series in the presence of heavy tails in the data, w...

Machine Learning Time Series
JRSSB Mar 30, 2026
Beyond the mean: limit theory and tests for infinite-mean autoregressive conditional durations

Giuseppe Cavaliere, Thomas Mikosch, Anders Rahbek et al.

Abstract Integrated autoregressive conditional duration (ACD) models serve as counterparts to integrated generalized autoregressive ...

Time Series
JASA Mar 25, 2026
Structural Identification for Spatio-Temporal Dynamic Models

Cong Cheng, Yuan Ke, Wenyang Zhang et al.

Time Series
JASA Jan 12, 2026
A factor-copula latent-vine time series model for extreme flood insurance losses

Xiaoting Li, Harry Joe, Christian Genest

Time Series
JMLR Dec 30, 2025
Efficient Online Prediction for High-Dimensional Time Series via Joint Tensor Tucker Decomposition

Defeng Sun, Zhenting Luan, Haoning Wang et al.

Real-time prediction plays a vital role in various control systems, such as traffic congestion control and wireless channel resource allocation. In th...

High-Dimensional Statistics Statistical Learning Time Series
AOS Dec 05, 2025
Identification and estimation for matrix time series CP-factor models

Qiwei Yao, Jinyuan Chang, Yue Du et al.

Time Series
JASA Dec 02, 2025
Spatiotemporal Besov Priors for Bayesian Inverse Problems

Shiwei Lan, Mirjeta Pasha, Shuyi Li et al.

Bayesian Statistics Time Series
JRSSB Oct 03, 2025
Spectral change point estimation for high-dimensional time series by sparse tensor decompositionGet access

Xinyu ZhangandKung-Sik Chan

High-Dimensional Statistics Time Series
AOS Sep 25, 2025
Estimation of Grouped Time-Varying Network Vector Autoregressive Models

Degui Li, Bin Peng, Songqiao Tang et al.

Time Series
JMLR Sep 08, 2025
On Non-asymptotic Theory of Recurrent Neural Networks in Temporal Point Processes

Zhiheng Chen, Guanhua Fang, Wen Yu

Temporal point process (TPP) is an important tool for modeling and predicting irregularly timed events across various domains. Recently, the recurrent...

Machine Learning Time Series
JMLR Sep 08, 2025
Dynamic Bayesian Learning for Spatiotemporal Mechanistic Models

Sudipto Banerjee, Xiang Chen, Ian Frankenburg et al.

We develop an approach for Bayesian learning of spatiotemporal dynamical mechanistic models. Such learning consists of statistical emulation of the me...

Bayesian Statistics Time Series
AOS Jul 30, 2025
Optimal Vintage Factor Analysis with Deflation Varimax

Xin Bing, Xin He, Dian Jin et al.

Time Series
JASA Jul 23, 2025
Identifying the Structure of High-Dimensional Time Series via Eigen-Analysis

Bo Zhang, Jiti Gao, Guangming Pan et al.

High-Dimensional Statistics Time Series
JASA Jul 17, 2025
Design and analysis of randomized trials to estimate spatio-temporally heterogeneous treatment effects

Samuel I. Watson, Thomas A. Smith

Causal Inference Time Series
JASA Apr 21, 2025
Frequency Domain Statistical Inference for High-Dimensional Time Series

Jonas Krampe, Efstathios Paparoditis

Machine Learning High-Dimensional Statistics Time Series
Biometrika Mar 16, 2025
Nonparametric data segmentation in multivariate time series via joint characteristic functions

E T McGonigle, H Cho

Summary Modern time series data often exhibit complex dependence and structural changes that are not easily characterized by shifts in ...

Nonparametric Statistics Time Series
JASA Feb 27, 2025
Discovering the Network Granger Causality in Large Vector Autoregressive Models

Yoshimasa Uematsu, Takashi Yamagata

Causal Inference Time Series
JASA Feb 27, 2025
High-Dimensional Knockoffs Inference for Time Series Data

Yingying Fan, Jinchi Lv, Chien-Ming Chi et al.

High-Dimensional Statistics Time Series
JASA Nov 26, 2024
On the Modeling and Prediction of High-Dimensional Functional Time Series

Qiwei Yao, Jinyuan Chang, Xinghao Qiao et al.

High-Dimensional Statistics Statistical Learning Time Series