Biometrika Nov 03, 2026

Optimal e-values for testing the mean of a bounded random variable against a composite alternative

Authors
S Arnold E Clerico
Research Topics
Machine Learning Hypothesis Testing
Paper Information
  • Journal:
    Biometrika
  • DOI:
    10.1093/biomet/asag070
  • Published:
    November 03, 2026
  • Added to Tracker:
    Nov 03, 2026
Abstract

Abstract We derive explicitly the e-values with optimal (relative) growth rate in the worst case for testing the mean of a bounded random variable, thereby providing the first application of the (RE)GROW quality criteria beyond the assumption of mutually absolutely continuous hypotheses for e-values originally proposed by Grünwald et al. (2024). For both criteria, we explicitly characterise the alternatives that are most difficult to test against and show that they admit a meaningful interpretation. We give two important examples in which REGROW provides a powerful quality criterion to choose optimal e-variables whereas GROW leads to trivial solutions.

Author Details
S Arnold
Author
E Clerico
Author
Research Topics & Keywords
Machine Learning
Research Area
Hypothesis Testing
Research Area
Citation Information
APA Format
S Arnold & E Clerico (2026) . Optimal e-values for testing the mean of a bounded random variable against a composite alternative. Biometrika , 10.1093/biomet/asag070.
BibTeX Format
@article{paper1840,
  title = { Optimal e-values for testing the mean of a bounded random variable against a composite alternative },
  author = { S Arnold and E Clerico },
  journal = { Biometrika },
  year = { 2026 },
  doi = { 10.1093/biomet/asag070 },
  url = { https://doi.org/10.1093/biomet/asag070 }
}